» Studies and Reports

Studies and Reports

The A. Gary Anderson Center for Economic Research produces academic articles, press releases, and newspaper articles that share our research. A list of some of our most recent articles can be found here.

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“A Model to Explain Statewide Differences in COVID-19 Death Rates,”Jim Doti, SSRN, December 2020. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3731803. (Chapman University Digital Commons, November 2020. https://digitalcommons.chapman.edu/economics_articles/252/).
“Benefit-cost analysis of COVID-19 Policy Intervention at the State and National Level,” Jim Doti, Covid Economics, Issue 67, February 2021. https://cepr.org/content/covid-economics. (Chapman University Digital Commons, January 2021 https://digitalcommons.chapman.edu/economics_articles/257/)
“Examining the Impact of Socioeconomic Variables on COVID-19 Death Rates at the State Level,” Jim Doti, Journal of Bioeconomics, April 2021. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10818-021-09309-9 https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10818-021-09309-9.pdf
“The Impact of Vaccinations on COVID-19 Case Rates at the State Level,” Jim Doti, Social Science Research Network (SSRN), September 2021. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3927364
“A Model to Forecast Midterm House Elections,” Jim Doti, Social Science Research Network (SSRN), June 2022. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4132585
“The Impact of Vaccinations and Chronic Disease on COVID Death Rates,” Journal of Bioeconomics, August 2023. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/374113741_The_impact_of_vaccinations_and_chronic_disease_on_COVID_death_rates.

“A Taxable Sales Forecasting Model for Orange County,” sponsored by the Orange County Transportation Authority. April 2023.
Quarterly California Purchasing Managers Survey.
“Californians Aren’t the Only Tax Refugees,” Jim Doti, Wall Street Journal, Opinion Commentary, January 11, 2023.
“Oil Company Profits and the Invisible Hand,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir and Fadel Lawandy, Orange County Business Journal, February 10, 2023.
“The Truth about Gas Prices, Profits,” Jim Doti, Orange County Register, February 10, 2023.
“The Case for a Recession in 2023,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir and Fadel Lawandy, Orange County Business Journal, February 13, 2023.
“Divvying Up the Pie of Advanced Workers,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir, Kenneth Murphy and Marshall Toplansky, Orange County Business Journal, April 4, 2023.
“Forecasting Charitable Giving,” Jim Doti and Fadel Lawandy, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, May 15, 2023.
“California’s Lost Adjusted Gross Income,” Jim Doti and Art Laffer, Orange County Register, Opinion, May 28, 2023.
“The Success of the OC Marathon is Capitalism in Action,” Jim Doti, Orange County Register, Opinion, June 6, 2023.
“Lower Population Growth Points to Lower Housing Demand”, Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir and Fadel Lawandy, Orange County Business Journal, November 20, 2023.

“A Taxable Sales Forecasting Model for Orange County,” sponsored by the Orange County Transportation Authority. April 2022.
Quarterly California Purchasing Managers Survey.
“Explaining Differences in Home Prices,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir and Fadel Lawandy, Orange County Business Journal, January 31, 2022.
“Moving from Pandemic to the Endemic Phase,” Jim Doti, Orange County Register,February 13, 2022.
“Innovation and Taxes,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir, Kenneth Murphy and Marshall Toplansky, Orange County Business Journal, March 7, 2022.
“Why Executives Rate California Business Climate Unfavorably,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir, Kenneth Murphy and Marshall Toplansky, Orange County Business Journal, April 11, 2022.
“To Reduce Gas Prices, Get Government Out of the Way,” Jim Doti, Viewpoints,April 17, 2022
“Baseball, Healthy Angels and WAR,” Jim Doti and Rick Reiff, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, May 16, 2022.
“Doti’s Guide to Summer Reading, Viewing, Listening,” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, June 20, 2022.
“Forecasting This Year’s Midterm House Election,” Jim Doti, Viewpoints, July 6, 2022
“Measuring the Efficacy of California’s, Florida’s COVID-19 Policies,” Jim Doti, Viewpoints, July 17, 2022
“Fed Policy, the Stock Market and Recessions,” Jim Doti and Fadel Lawandy, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, August 15, 2022.
“High State Taxes Lose Income as Well,” Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir, Orange County Business Journal, September 26, 2022.
“Chapman Model Forecasts 44-Seat Gain for GOP in House,” Jim Doti and Fadel Lawandy, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, October 17, 2022.
“The Impact of a Recession on State Coffers,” Jim Doti, Fadel Lawandy and Raymond Sfeir, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, November 14, 2022.

“A Taxable Sales Forecasting Model for Orange County,” sponsored by the Orange County Transportation Authority. April 2021.
Quarterly California Purchasing Managers Survey.
“Now that Democrats Control Government, What Will Markets Do?,” Jim Doti and Fadel Lawandy OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, January 18, 2021.
“More Restrictions are Not Always the Answer,” Jim Doti, Orange County Register, Opinion, March 14, 2021.
“Time to Pivot from Equities,” Jim Doti and Fadel Lawandy OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, March 18, 2021.
“California Dominance in Innovation Trumps Texas,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir, Kenneth Murphy and Marshall Toplansky, Orange County Business Journal, April 18, 2021.
“The Race Towards Innovation: OC versus SD,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir, Kenneth Murphy and Marshall Toplansky, Orange County Business Journal, May 31, 2021.
“Doti’s Guide to Summer Reading, Viewing, Listening,” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, July 5, 2021.
“Did the Lockdowns Hurt the Economy,” Jim Doti and Jerry Nickelsburg Orange County Register, Perspectives, July 11, 2021.
“What UCLA Forecast Gets Wrong on Lockdown-economy Link,” Jim Doti, Orange County Register, Economics, July 25, 2021.
“The Exodus from California,” Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir, OC Register, August 1, 2021.
“Unraveling the OC-SD High-Paying Jobs Mystery,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir, Kenneth Murphy and Marshall Toplansky, Orange County Business Journal, August 2, 2021.
“Faulty Research Leads to Bad Public Policy,” Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir, Orange County Business Journal, August 30, 2021.
“Post-recall, Don’t Ignore Californians’ Discontent,” Jim Doti, Orange County Register, Politics, September 16, 2021.
“The Impact of Vaccines in Reducing COVID-19 Case and Death Rates,” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, October 18, 2021.
“Paul and Harry,” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, November 15, 2021.
“Is there Really a California Housing Shortage?” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir and Fadel Lawandy, Orange County Business Journal, December 20, 2021.

“A Taxable Sales Forecasting Model for Orange County,” sponsored by the Orange County Transportation Authority. April 2020.
Quarterly California Purchasing Managers Survey.
“Letter to the Editor: Focus on ‘Side Door’ and ‘Back Door” Admission is Misleading,” Jim Doti, The Chronicle of Higher Education, January 8, 2020.
“The Folly of Central Planning,” Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir, Orange County Business Journal, February 17, 2020.
“Force Majeure or Mineur,” Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir, Orange County Business Journal,March 16, 2020.
“A Lesson in Economics for Govs Newsom and Cuomo,” Jim Doti,Orange County Register, March 18, 2020.
“Some COVID-19 News? California Case Count Falling Short,” Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir,Orange County Business Journal, April 6, 2020.
“Hitting the Restart Button,” Jim Doti,Orange County Business Journal, April 9, 2020.
“OC City Pension Funds Take Turn for Worse?,” Fadel Lawandy and Jim Doti,Orange County Business Journal, May 4, 2020.
“Why You Can’t Find Rubbing Alcohol,” Laurence Iannaccone and Jim Doti,Wall Street Journal Opinion, May 4, 2020.
“Doti’s Guide to Summer Reading, Viewing, Listening,” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, June 22, 2020.
“Looks Like the COVID-19 Recession Will Be Trump’s Death Knell,” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, July 13, 2020.
“Chapman Connects with New Web Series,” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, August 17, 2020.
“The CARES Act and Economic Recovery,” Jim Doti, Epoch Times’ Viewpoints, August 29, 2020.
“Just Say No … to Higher California Taxes,” Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, September 14, 2020.
“Inflation is Always and Everywhere a Monetary Phenomenon,” Jim Doti, Epoch Times’ Viewpoints, October 20, 2020.
“About Prop. 13 and Prop. 15: The Choice Is Ours,” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, October 26, 2020.
“The Emerging Global Battleground in Innovation,” Jim Doti, Epoch Times’ Viewpoints, October 27, 2020.
“Where is OC in Creating Innovation Industries?” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, November 16, 2020.

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