» Studies and Reports
Studies and Reports
The A. Gary Anderson Center for Economic Research produces academic articles, press releases, and newspaper articles that share our research. A list of some of our most recent articles can be found here.
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Academic Articles
- “A Model to Explain Statewide Differences in COVID-19 Death Rates,”Jim Doti, SSRN, December 2020. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3731803. (Chapman University Digital Commons, November 2020. https://digitalcommons.chapman.edu/economics_articles/252/).
- “Benefit-cost analysis of COVID-19 Policy Intervention at the State and National Level,” Jim Doti, Covid Economics, Issue 67, February 2021. https://cepr.org/content/covid-economics. (Chapman University Digital Commons, January 2021 https://digitalcommons.chapman.edu/economics_articles/257/)
- “Examining the Impact of Socioeconomic Variables on COVID-19 Death Rates at the State Level,” Jim Doti, Journal of Bioeconomics, April 2021. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10818-021-09309-9 https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10818-021-09309-9.pdf
- “The Impact of Vaccinations on COVID-19 Case Rates at the State Level,” Jim Doti, Social Science Research Network (SSRN), September 2021. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3927364
- “A Model to Forecast Midterm House Elections,” Jim Doti, Social Science Research Network (SSRN), June 2022. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4132585
- “The Impact of Vaccinations and Chronic Disease on COVID Death Rates,” Journal of Bioeconomics, August 2023. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/374113741_The_impact_of_vaccinations_and_chronic_disease_on_COVID_death_rates.
- “The Impact of Job Growth and Inflation on Presidential Voting Patterns,” Social Science Research Network (SSRN), December 2023 https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4657592
- “The Impact of Job Growth and Inflation on Presidential Elections,” APSA Preprints, May 2024 https://preprints.apsanet.org/engage/apsa/article-details/6696b2735101a2ffa88e85c9
2024 Newspaper and Journal Articles
- “A Taxable Sales Forecasting Model for Orange County,” sponsored by the Orange County Transportation Authority. April 2024.
- Quarterly California Purchasing Managers Survey.
- “COVID mandates cost jobs but didn’t save lives,” Jim Doti, Orange County Register, Opinion, March 19, 2024
- “Inflation’s Historical Presidential Election Impact,” Jim Doti and Tom Campbell, RealClear Markets, Apr 25, 2024.
- “So, where is the recession?” Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir, Orange County Register, Economics, May 12, 2024.
2023 Newspaper and Journal Articles
- “A Taxable Sales Forecasting Model for Orange County,” sponsored by the Orange County Transportation Authority. April 2023.
- Quarterly California Purchasing Managers Survey.
- “Californians Aren’t the Only Tax Refugees,” Jim Doti, Wall Street Journal, Opinion Commentary, January 11, 2023.
- “Oil Company Profits and the Invisible Hand,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir and Fadel Lawandy, Orange County Business Journal, February 10, 2023.
- “The Truth about Gas Prices, Profits,” Jim Doti, Orange County Register, February 10, 2023.
- “The Case for a Recession in 2023,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir and Fadel Lawandy, Orange County Business Journal, February 13, 2023.
- “Divvying Up the Pie of Advanced Workers,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir, Kenneth Murphy and Marshall Toplansky, Orange County Business Journal, April 4, 2023.
- “Forecasting Charitable Giving,” Jim Doti and Fadel Lawandy, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, May 15, 2023.
- “California’s Lost Adjusted Gross Income,” Jim Doti and Art Laffer, Orange County Register, Opinion, May 28, 2023.
- “The Success of the OC Marathon is Capitalism in Action,” Jim Doti, Orange County Register, Opinion, June 6, 2023.
- “Long COVID hits Defense Spending”, Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir, Orange County Register, July 14, 2024.
- “DeSantis Deserves Another Look,” Jim Doti, Wall Street Journal, Opinion|Letters, Aug 7, 2023
- “Come home, Republicans, to the Party of Lincoln,” Jim Doti, Orange County Register, Opinion, Sept 10, 2023.
- The Great California Exodus,” Jim Doti, Tom Campbell, and Gerry Parsky, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, Sept 18, 2023.
- “Stemming the Tide,” Jim Doti, Tom Campbell, and Gerry Parsky, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, Oct 2, 2023.
- “Lower Population Growth Points to Lower Housing Demand”, Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir and Fadel Lawandy, Orange County Business Journal, November 20, 2023.
2022 Newspaper and Journal Articles
- “A Taxable Sales Forecasting Model for Orange County,” sponsored by the Orange County Transportation Authority. April 2022.
- Quarterly California Purchasing Managers Survey.
- “Explaining Differences in Home Prices,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir and Fadel Lawandy, Orange County Business Journal, January 31, 2022.
- “Moving from Pandemic to the Endemic Phase,” Jim Doti, Orange County Register,February 13, 2022.
- “Innovation and Taxes,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir, Kenneth Murphy and Marshall Toplansky, Orange County Business Journal, March 7, 2022.
- “Why Executives Rate California Business Climate Unfavorably,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir, Kenneth Murphy and Marshall Toplansky, Orange County Business Journal, April 11, 2022.
- “To Reduce Gas Prices, Get Government Out of the Way,” Jim Doti, Viewpoints,April 17, 2022
- “Baseball, Healthy Angels and WAR,” Jim Doti and Rick Reiff, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, May 16, 2022.
- “Doti’s Guide to Summer Reading, Viewing, Listening,” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, June 20, 2022.
- “Forecasting This Year’s Midterm House Election,” Jim Doti, Viewpoints, July 6, 2022
- “Measuring the Efficacy of California’s, Florida’s COVID-19 Policies,” Jim Doti, Viewpoints, July 17, 2022
- “Fed Policy, the Stock Market and Recessions,” Jim Doti and Fadel Lawandy, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, August 15, 2022.
- “High State Taxes Lose Income as Well,” Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir, Orange County Business Journal, September 26, 2022.
- “Chapman Model Forecasts 44-Seat Gain for GOP in House,” Jim Doti and Fadel Lawandy, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, October 17, 2022.
- “The Impact of a Recession on State Coffers,” Jim Doti, Fadel Lawandy and Raymond Sfeir, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, November 14, 2022.
2021 Newspaper and Journal Articles
- “A Taxable Sales Forecasting Model for Orange County,” sponsored by the Orange County Transportation Authority. April 2021.
- Quarterly California Purchasing Managers Survey.
- “Now that Democrats Control Government, What Will Markets Do?,” Jim Doti and Fadel Lawandy OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, January 18, 2021.
- “More Restrictions are Not Always the Answer,” Jim Doti, Orange County Register, Opinion, March 14, 2021.
- “Time to Pivot from Equities,” Jim Doti and Fadel Lawandy OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, March 18, 2021.
- “California Dominance in Innovation Trumps Texas,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir, Kenneth Murphy and Marshall Toplansky, Orange County Business Journal, April 18, 2021.
- “The Race Towards Innovation: OC versus SD,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir, Kenneth Murphy and Marshall Toplansky, Orange County Business Journal, May 31, 2021.
- “Doti’s Guide to Summer Reading, Viewing, Listening,” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, July 5, 2021.
- “Did the Lockdowns Hurt the Economy,” Jim Doti and Jerry Nickelsburg Orange County Register, Perspectives, July 11, 2021.
- “What UCLA Forecast Gets Wrong on Lockdown-economy Link,” Jim Doti, Orange County Register, Economics, July 25, 2021.
- “The Exodus from California,” Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir, OC Register, August 1, 2021.
- “Unraveling the OC-SD High-Paying Jobs Mystery,” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir, Kenneth Murphy and Marshall Toplansky, Orange County Business Journal, August 2, 2021.
- “Faulty Research Leads to Bad Public Policy,” Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir, Orange County Business Journal, August 30, 2021.
- “Post-recall, Don’t Ignore Californians’ Discontent,” Jim Doti, Orange County Register, Politics, September 16, 2021.
- “The Impact of Vaccines in Reducing COVID-19 Case and Death Rates,” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, October 18, 2021.
- “Paul and Harry,” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, November 15, 2021.
- “Is there Really a California Housing Shortage?” Jim Doti, Raymond Sfeir and Fadel Lawandy, Orange County Business Journal, December 20, 2021.
2020 Newspaper and Journal Articles
- “A Taxable Sales Forecasting Model for Orange County,” sponsored by the Orange County Transportation Authority. April 2020.
- Quarterly California Purchasing Managers Survey.
- “Letter to the Editor: Focus on ‘Side Door’ and ‘Back Door” Admission is Misleading,” Jim Doti, The Chronicle of Higher Education, January 8, 2020.
- “The Folly of Central Planning,” Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir, Orange County Business Journal, February 17, 2020.
- “Force Majeure or Mineur,” Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir, Orange County Business Journal,March 16, 2020.
- “A Lesson in Economics for Govs Newsom and Cuomo,” Jim Doti,Orange County Register, March 18, 2020.
- “Some COVID-19 News? California Case Count Falling Short,” Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir,Orange County Business Journal, April 6, 2020.
- “Hitting the Restart Button,” Jim Doti,Orange County Business Journal, April 9, 2020.
- “OC City Pension Funds Take Turn for Worse?,” Fadel Lawandy and Jim Doti,Orange County Business Journal, May 4, 2020.
- “Why You Can’t Find Rubbing Alcohol,” Laurence Iannaccone and Jim Doti,Wall Street Journal Opinion, May 4, 2020.
- “Doti’s Guide to Summer Reading, Viewing, Listening,” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, June 22, 2020.
- “Looks Like the COVID-19 Recession Will Be Trump’s Death Knell,” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, July 13, 2020.
- “Chapman Connects with New Web Series,” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, August 17, 2020.
- “The CARES Act and Economic Recovery,” Jim Doti, Epoch Times’ Viewpoints, August 29, 2020.
- “Just Say No … to Higher California Taxes,” Jim Doti and Raymond Sfeir, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, September 14, 2020.
- “Inflation is Always and Everywhere a Monetary Phenomenon,” Jim Doti, Epoch Times’ Viewpoints, October 20, 2020.
- “About Prop. 13 and Prop. 15: The Choice Is Ours,” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, October 26, 2020.
- “The Emerging Global Battleground in Innovation,” Jim Doti, Epoch Times’ Viewpoints, October 27, 2020.
- “Where is OC in Creating Innovation Industries?” Jim Doti, OCBJ’s OC Leader Board, November 16, 2020.