Chapman University’s Economic Forecast Update is currently a hybrid format. For more information, view our Economic Forecast page.
For over 45 years, the Economic Forecast has afforded students in the Argyros College hands-on experience not only in using the econometric tools necessary to revise and update the Chapman Model but also in analyzing current economic trends. The focus continues to be on providing information that businesses and organizations need to make more effective planning and investment decisions.
The Anderson Center’s research findings have been quoted in major media outlets across the nation. The Economic Forecast is recognized, in particular, for its statistical accuracy, as reflected in the following results:
- Between 2004 and 2023, Chapman’s real GDP forecasts were more accurate than the forecasts issued by all 18 agencies participating in the Blue Chip Economic Indicators surveys. Chapman also ranked #2 for its forecasts of four variables that significantly influence the overall U.S. economy: real GDP, the unemployment rate, inflation (as measured by the GDP price deflator), and housing starts.
- Chapman was among the first to forecast higher inflation and interest rates following the COVID-19 Pandemic.
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