» Center for Demographics and Policy

“Demographics is destiny” has become somewhat an overused phrase, but that does not reduce the critical importance of population trends to virtually every aspect of economic, social and political life. Concern over demographic trends has been heightened in recent years by several international trends --- notably rapid aging, reduced fertility, large scale migration across borders. On the national level, shifts in attitude, generation and ethnicity have proven decisive in both the political realm and in the economic fortunes of regions and states.

The Center hopes to emerge as a major force in research and analysis of global, national and regional demographic trends. As befits its title, it will also look into policies that might produce favorable demographic results over time. A first effort in this direction was last year’s successful project The Rise of Post-familialism: Humanity’s Future, a successful co-venture between Chapman University and the Singapore Civil Service College. Demographics played a major in this year’s report, Retrofitting the Dream, which was funded by the Fieldstead Foundation.

Currently, the Center is conducting at two more international studies, the first focusing on the shifting nature of global cities, also in co-operation with the Civil Service College. Other prospective projects may look more specifically at migration of younger, skilled workers into Southern California and its impact on the local high-tech economy.

The Center involves Chapman students in demographic research under the supervision of the Center’s senior staff. Students work with the Center’s director and engage in research that will serve them well as they look to develop their careers in business, the social sciences and the arts. They will also have access to our advisory board, which includes distinguished Chapman faculty and major demographic scholars from across the country and the world.

Joel Kotkin - Director

Joel Kotkin - Director

Described by the New York Times as “America’s uber-geographer,” Joel Kotkin is an internationally-recognized authority on global, economic, political and social trends.  His new book, THE HUMAN CITY: Urbanism for the Rest of Us, has just been published by Agate Press.

Mr. Kotkin is the Presidential Fellow in Urban Futures at Chapman University in Orange, California and Executive Director of the Houston-based Center for Opportunity Urbanism (opportunityurbanism.org).  He is Executive Editor of the widely read website www.newgeography.com and writes the weekly “New Geographer” column for Forbes.com.  He is a regular contributor to the Daily Beast and Real Clear Politics.

He is the author of seven previously published books, including the widely praised THE NEW CLASS CONFLICT (Telos Press), which describes the changing dynamics of class in America.

Other past books include THE NEXT HUNDRED MILLION: America in 2050, published by The Penguin Press. The book explores how the nation will evolve in the next four decades. THE CITY: A GLOBAL HISTORY and TRIBES: How Race, Religion and Identity Are Reshaping the Global Economy, were also published in numerous languages including Spanish, Chinese, Korean, Japanese, German and Arabic.

Mr. Kotkin has published reports on topics ranging from the future of class in global cities to the places with the best opportunities for minorities.  His 2013 report, “Post-familialism: Humanity’s Future,” an examination of the world’s future demography, was published by the Civil Service College of Singapore and Chapman University and has been widely commented on not only in the United States, but in Israel, Brazil, Canada and other countries.

Over the past decade, Mr. Kotkin has completed studies focusing on several major cities, including a worldwide study focusing on the future of London, Mumbai and Mexico City, and studies of New York, Los Angeles, New Orleans, Houston, San Bernardino and St. Louis, among others. In 2010 he completed an international study on “the new world order” for the Legatum Institute in London, UK that traced trans-national ethnic networks, particularly in East Asia. He also has worked in smaller communities, including a report -working with Praxis Strategy Group - on the rise of the Great Plains for Texas Tech University. 

Currently Kotkin is coordinating major studies on Texas urbanism, the future of localism and the re-industrialization of the American heartland for the Center for Opportunity Urbanism. As director of the Center for Demographics and Policy at Chapman, he was the lead author of  a major study on housing, and is currently involved in a project about the future of Orange County, CA.

Advisory Board

Smith Hall

Sheila Steinberg
Dr. Steinberg is a Visiting Professor of Sociology at Chapman University and Director of Community Research for the California Center for Rural Policy

Ken Murphy
Dr. Kenneth E. Murphy is an Associate Professor of Operations Management and the Assistant Dean of Undergraduate Programs at the Argyros School of Business and Economics at Chapman University.

Ali Modarres
Ali Modarres is the Professor and Director of Urban Studies at the  University of Washington Tacoma. 

Wendell Cox
Wendell Cox advocates adoption of land use and transport policies based on their effectiveness in improving the standard of living and alleviating poverty. He is principal of Demographia (Wendell Cox Consultancy) in the St. Louis metropolitan area. He specializes in urban policy, transport and demographics and is author of Demographia World Urban Areas and co-author of the and co-author of the Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey. He is also author of Toward More Prosperous Cities, a framing essay on urban areas, urban planning, urban transport and sustainability.

Morley Winograd
Morley Winograd is an American author, speaker and Millennial generation guru. He serves as Senior Fellow at the University of Southern California’s Annenberg School’s Center on Communication Leadership and Policy.

Gavin Jones
Professor Gavin Jones is Director of the JY Pillay Comparative Asia Research Centre, and holds a joint appointment in the Department of Sociology at National University of Singapore.

Thomas Tseng
Thomas Tseng is Principal and Co-Founder of New American Dimensions, a market research and consulting agency based in Los Angeles.

Jose Legaspi

Richard Campanella
Tulane School of Architecture geographer Richard Campanella is the author of six critically acclaimed books on the physical and human geography of New Orleans, as well as numerous journal articles and studies on New Orleans, historical geography, GIS, and remote sensing.

Mika Toyota